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Current Waves and Forecast

Forecast & Current Observations (After 10AM)

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Last updated 09 May 2008 at 14:31

Friday - knee to chest S swell fades and knee to chest NE chop develops quickly.

Saturday - knee to chest S swell with head to well overhead E chop towards dark.

Sunday - knee to chest E swell fades with ankle to waist NE chop grows to knee to chest levels.

Monday - building SE chop to knee to chest levels with bigger sets.

Tuesday - chest to a little overhead SSE swell with head to well overhead ESE chop.

Wednesday - head to well overhead E swell fades to knee to chest levels with knee to chest NE chop.

Thursday - knee to chest E swell and NE chop fades, SSE chop develops.



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LOCAL WINDS:

Friday - Light NE winds increase to moderate levels and veer E in the PM. Northern shores may see more of a NE component.

Saturday - Moderate N winds veer to moderate NW in late AM.

Sunday - Moderate NE winds become E.

Monday - Moderate E/SE winds.

Tuesday - Moderate E winds with southern shores seeing NW winds.

Wednesday - Moderate N winds with cape seeing NNE winds.

Thursday - Light NE winds veer SSE and increase to moderate levels.

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DAILY FORECASTS:

9 Friday:
N of the Cape - ankle to waist levels transitions to knee to chest NE chop grows to bigger levels by dark.
Cape – knee to chest SE/NE chop grows to knee to chest levels with bigger sets.
S of the Cape – knee to chest S swell fades with ankle to waist E chop developing late.

10 Saturday:
N of the Cape - E chop builds to head to well overhead levels with a possible NE chop develping late.
Cape – E chop builds to head to well overhead levels with a possible NE chop.
S of the Cape – knee to chest S swell fades rapidly.

11 Sunday:
N of the Cape - knee to chest E swell with NE chop.
Cape – knee to chest E swell with NE chop.
S of the Cape – flat.

12 Monday:
N of the Cape - building SE chop to knee to chest levels with bigger sets.
Cape – building SE chop to chest to a little overhead levels.
S of the Cape – building SE chop to knee to chest levels with sets.

13 Tuesday:
N of the Cape - head to well overhead ESE chop transitions to swell.
Cape – head to well overhead ESE chop with SSE swell.
S of the Cape – chest to a little overhead SSE swell.

14 Wednesday:
N of the Cape - head to well overhead E swell fades with knee to chest NE chop.
Cape – head to well overhead E swell fades with knee to chest NE chop.
S of the Cape – flat, with knee to chest east swell for select spots.

15 Thursday:
N of the Cape - knee to chest E swell and NE chop fade to ankle to waist levels.
Cape – knee to chest E swell and NE chop fade to ankle to waist levels.
S of the Cape – flatness replaced with knee to chest SSE chop.

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COLOR LEGEND:

YELLOW: small or medium surf with less than ideal conditions.
GREEN: medium surf with good conditions.
RED: large surf that requires caution, or dangerous conditions.

Some color is an estimate of "when" the scale is applicable.

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SIZE LEGEND:

Tiny: ankle to waist high and rideability is debatable.
Small: knee to chest high.
Medium: chest to well overhead.
Large: double overhead plus.

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WAVE SOURCE DISCUSSION:

UPDATED AT 5AM ON MAY 9 2008

1. Ireland Storm: tiny background swell ~ Large long-lasting system between Ireland and Greenland generated seas in excess of 30 feet last week and long period swell of 6-8 feet at 12-14 seconds arrived at far eastern Nova Scotia buoys on Monday and became evident in the New England waters on Wednesday PM. Expect to see tiny & inconsistent background swell from the ENE/E with periods of 12-15 seconds on Thursday with best spots amplifying this swell to small levels.

2. End of Week Front: Low pressure north of Michigan on Wednesday night has a trailing cold front to low pressure near Arkansas. The northern low moves ENE and is over Northern Maine on Thursday night dragging the cold front across New England with the other low staying back in the central states. This should produce building SW wind chop for southern shores on Thursday with small leftovers on Friday that fade quickly.

3. Saturday coastal storm: Low pressure near Arkansas mentioned above moves slowly E and is near West Virginia on Friday morning producing a band of SW/SE winds off the mid-atlantic states. By Saturday morning the system intensifies to a 991MB system just near the benchmark (40N70W) with gale force onshore winds for the cape and northern shores and offshore winds for southern shores. Sunday morning the low loses steam and is well east of New England. ~ This should produce small S chop on Friday for southern shores, building E swell to medium levels on Saturday for cape and northern shores and leftovers on Sunday that fade to small levels by dark.

4. Monday coastal storm: Low pressure near Denver on Saturday morning takes a similar track to system #3 and the evolution of system #3 will provide key guidance as to the specifics for this system. However, as of now the thought process is that inland low heads toward D.C. area and then coastal center of about 992MB forms just east of Virgnia. System expands in wind coverage and slowly moves ENE and is about 200 miles south of Rhode Island on Tuesday morning and 200 miles east of Cape Cod on Wednesday morning ~ This sequence of events should generate building S/SE chop for most shores on Monday, low-end medium S south and building ESE swell to medium levels on Tuesday. Wednesday would have tiny S leftovers and medium E swell dropping with a ragged NE chop developing as well. * This system is a long ways out, it makes sense to plan for this event, but specifics are still questionable in terms of how the system actually moves past our area. *

5. Thursday System: Similar type of events as #3 and #4 is expected to unfold as the northern hemispheric remains in an active pattern. Expect to see onshore flow on Thursday as low pressure winds up to our South, then move east. ~ South swell, followed by East Chop, becoming E swell with NE chop.

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LONG TERM DISCUSSION:


UPDATED AT 6AM ON MAY 8 2008

Continuation of the active pattern with an average spacing of 3-4 days per event seems likely well into May. Typically as we head into Spring the intensity of systems will start to diminish, however overall hemispheric conditions support higher than average confidence for continued optimism.

It is possible that sometime in the next 2-6 weeks that a long period southern hemisphere swell will arrive in New England. Hopefully NDBC will finish its April maintenance in May so that we have a full fleet of buoys to capture this action.

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UPDATE SCHEDULE:

Daily Short term update in the morning.

Daily mid-grade update in the evening.

Major update a few times a week, as required.

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QUESTIONS or COMMENTS?:

For additional open forum discussion please visit the "Surf Forecast Forum" or you can send email directly to the forecaster at "Email for Forecaster"

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Warning! The forecasts are based on predictive models, check the current wave observations or call the store reports before heading out.
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Current Observations

North of the Cape (For waves from S to NE and winds from NW to SW)
-Ogunquit, ME by Liquid Dreams Surf Shop
-Hampton, NH by Pioneers Board Shop
-Hampton, NH by Surfline
-Seabrook, NH - Zapstix's surf report: (603) 474 7873
-Good Harbor - Gloucester, MA by sUrfari
-Marblehead, MA - Brickhouse Surf Report
-Hull, MA - Northeastsurfing.com
-Scituate, MA (Various Breaks) by NorEaster

The Cape (For waves from N to SE and WNW to SW winds)
-Nauset Beach to Cahoon Hollow, MA by Nauset Sports
-Lecount by Sick Day Surf
-Coast Guard Beach Cam

The Islands
-Cisco Beach - Nantucket, MA by sUrfari
-South Beach - Martha's Vineyard, MA by MV's Coastal Observatory

South of the Cape I (S to SW breaks - look for NW to NE winds)
-Second Beach - Middletown, RI by Elemental
-Second Beach - Middletown, RI - Waterbros' Surf Report (401) 848 WAVE

South of the Cape II (E  to SSE breaks - look for WSW to NW winds)
-Town Beach - Narragansett, RI by Surfline

To Check Tides & To Double Check Conditions Use These Links
Tide Charts
More Phone Reports (from New England's Surf Stores)
(Note: Web Store Reports that update infrequently are at the bottom of this page.)

Usage Terms

Disclaimer: NESurf.com makes no express or implied warranties or affirmations as to the safety or surfability of surf spots, waves, wind or general weather depicted in the reports, forecasts, graphics, surf spots or any other information implied, represented or depicted through its site (whether generated by NESurf.com or linked to from NESurf.com). In addition, NESurf.com makes no express or implied warranties or affirmations that waves, winds or weather will occur or have occurred as the reports, forecasts, graphics, or other information on the site represent or depict. Furthermore, NESurf.com has no responsibility or liability whatsoever to the user or any other person or entity for any injuries or harm resulting from the use of the information contained in the site. NESurf.com also has no responsibility or liability whatsoever to the user or any other person or entity, for any inconsistency, inaccuracy, or omission on the site. NESURF.COM, MAKES NO WARRANTIES HERE UNDER, AND THIS DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTIES INCLUDES, BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO, THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY AND FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. Surf Reports Usage Directions:

  1. Unless otherwise stated the Reports apply to the whole New England coast (from Maine to Rhode Island). N of the Cape = from the Massachusetts South Shore to Northern Maine. Cape = Massachusetts' Cape Cod. S of the Cape = Rhode Island. S of RI = Long Island. "Offshore" = Mostly refers to Nantucket, but depending on swell direction it can also apply to Block Island and Martha's Vineyard.
  2. To determine which breaks will have surfable conditions compare the swell direction to the table in the Surf Spots page or look at the information on the spots pages. Note: ground swell tends to wraparound better and is rideable on a wider spectrum of breaks than wind swell.
  3. All breaks have special characteristics. Some of these are depicted in the Spots section but it will take some practice and personal knowledge of several spots to determine which break best suit your needs and the conditions. Explore!

State

Beach

Surf Shop

Report#

Shop#

ME Kennebunk Aquaholics Surf Shop  
207 967 8650
ME Wells Wheels N Waves  
207 646 5774
ME Ogunquit Liquid Dreams  
207 641 2545
ME Old Orchard Beach Huge Surf  
207 934 1382
NH Hampton Beach Cinnamon Rainbows
603 926 9283
603 929 7467
NH Hampton Beach Pioneers Board Shop
603 929 7433
603 964 7714
NH Seabrook Zapstix  
603 474 7873
MA Marblehead Brickhouse
781 639 2947
781 639 4531
MA Hull Wear & Tear
781 925 9283
781 925 3666
MA Scituate NorEaster
781 544 4610
781 544 9283
MA Marshfield Levitate Surf & Skate
781 834 2756
781 834 2755
MA Orleans Pumphouse
508 240 2229
508 240 2226
MA Eastham Jaspers  
508 255 2662
MA South Wellfleet Sick Day Surf  
508 214 4158
MA Nauset Beach Nauset Sports
508 255 4742
508 255 4742
MA Nantucket Indian Summer  
508 228 3632
RI Newport Elemental
401 841 5160
401 846 2280
RI Newport Waterbros
401 848 WAVE
RI Narragansett Gansett Juice
401 789 1954
401 789 7890
RI Narragansett Warm Winds
401 789 7020
401 789 9040
RI Westerly Ride A Wave
401 596 0919
401 596 7722

Complete listing of Online Store Wave Reports

Wells, ME by Wheels N Waves
Ogunquit, ME by Liquid Dreams Surf Shop
Maine by ME Surf Info
The Wall - Hampton, NH by Pioneers Board Shop
Hampton, NH by Surfline
Marblehead, MA by Brickhouse
Good Harbor - Gloucester, MA by N.E. sUrfari
Scituate, MA (Various Breaks) by NorEaster
Marshfield, MA by Levitate Surf and Skate
Wellfleet, MA by Mozzie
Nauset Beach to Cahoon Hollow - Cape Cod, MA by Nauset Sports
Cisco Beach - Nantucket, MA by sUrfari
South Beach - Martha's Vineyard, MA by MV's Coastal Observatory
Second Beach - Middletown, RI by Elemental
Town Beach - Narragansett, RI by Warm Winds
Town Beach - Narragansett, RI by Surfline
Town Beach - Narragansett, RI by Gansett Juice


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